Category Archives: War

The Final Judgement of Alleged War Criminal Tony Blair

With the Chilcot Inquiry due to publish its long-awaited report on 6 July, an early indication of what the findings might be have been aired by BBC Panorama’s “Iraq the Final Judgement”. In the hour-long programme, journalist Jane Corbin returned to the war-ravaged country with the grief stricken parents of British soldiers killed in Iraq and former army officers to try to make some sense of what now seems like a senseless and unnecessary conflict.

Millions of British people, including families who lost loved ones, want to know if they were told the truth about why the nation went to war in Iraq, why it cost countless lives and why the invasion left a country in chaos. Couples like Roger and Maureen Bacon, who accompanied the Panorama team to Basra where their son Matt was killed, are hoping to find some meaning for their terrible loss.

Corbyn, who reported from Basra at the height of the Iraq war, interviewed a number of high profile figures, including former UN chief weapons inspector Hans Blix. Prior to the invasion, Blix was sceptical of the intelligence provided by the British. He warned the then Prime Minister Tony Blair that hundreds of inspections before the war had failed to yield any substantial evidence of Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD). He shared his doubts about WMD with Blair who brushed them aside. According to Blix, “[The] British authorities would frequently say intelligence shows us this and intelligence shows us that, but simply saying ‘intelligence shows’ is not evidence.”

Tony Blair

Tony Blair

Blair’s persistent finger-pointing at the intelligence committee and his refusal to take any personal responsibility for the invasion is questioned by the former UN inspector along with the intelligence officials themselves. As the documentary makes clear, a year before the war British intelligence agents told the government that their knowledge of WMD was “sporadic” and “patchy”; six months later, though, they helped Blair to compile the dossier that made the case for war against Iraq.

Did the prime minister gloss over intelligence weaknesses to make a false case for war, and did he misrepresent the facts? Hans Blix is retired now and no longer feels the need to be careful with his words: “What he said did not represent reality.” When pushed to say if Blair misrepresented the facts, he responded, “Yes.” Claire Short, a former secretary of state for international development in Blair’s government was also interviewed for the programme. “I think he [Tony Blair] had made up his mind to be with [George W] Bush,” she said.

“And we were massaged and deceived to get us there when it was a manipulation of us – that is us, the parliament, the cabinet, British public opinion, American public opinion — by people who were determined to take military action from the beginning.”

Blix and Short have little doubt about the main question addressed by Chilcot: why did Britain go to war and who was responsible for what happened? Other prominent figures like former British Ambassador to the US Sir Christopher Meyer told Corbin that Blair said to Bush, “Whatever you decide to do George, I’m with you.” Meyer, who was at Bush’s ranch when the two leaders met in private to discuss the invasion of Iraq, added that a secret deal had been made with Blair to remove Saddam Hussain. The following day, Blair joined Bush in his plan for regime change and to bypass the UN.

The invasion of Iraq is infamous not only because of the lies and misinformation in the lead up to the war but also for the violence it unleased and the abject failure to plan for the aftermath. Blair, it seems, was cherry-picking the advice he was given from the intelligence community. His entire defence for the failed invasion is based on faulty intelligence but the former prime minister is less forthcoming in admitting that intelligence chiefs had also warned of the heightened risk of terrorism that would follow any military action to topple the Iraqi president.

The manner in which the invasion was carried out, in particular the bypassing of the UN and failure to unite a broad coalition for regime change, meant that plans were not made, because all the players that were supposed to be involved were not involved, claimed Clare Short.

Predictably, regime change led to sectarian war and terrorism. Following the surprise collapse of Saddam’s forces, the initial feeling of gratitude and optimism changed quickly as fear and alarm gripped communities in the ensuing power vacuum. Brigadier Graham Binns, the Commander of Britain’s 7th Armoured Brigade in 2003, described the false sense of security as Bush pronounced “mission accomplished” prematurely. Looting, fuelled by the break-up of law and order, spread across Iraq. State apparatuses collapsed and essential services like water supplies came to a grinding halt. With Britain tied to the US policy of regime change, its troops in Basra bore the brunt of Iraqi resentment and anger; overnight the British became occupiers, not liberators.

The seeds of sectarian conflict and the rise of Daesh were planted during the early phase when occupation forces disbanded the entire Ba’ath structure that had held the country together, including the police, the army and the civil service. They stripped the entire regime completely but did not replace it with anything. According to Emma Sky, who was a British civilian coordinator during the early phase of the invasion, “It ended with hospitals without doctors and schools without teachers.” Britain and the US didn’t just remove the top tier of the Iraqi regime; the whole lot went. “So without any security forces, people were fearful,” Sky recalled. “They started to form gangs, militias were able to flourish, insurgent groups started to rise up.”

Failing to plan for the aftermath of the invasion left a power vacuum that pushed the country into a civil war. Brigadier Binns, who led British troops into Basra, returned to the city after thirteen years for Panorama. “I don’t think we had a coherent plan in the longer term,” he told Corbin. “The coalition hadn’t thought through how we were going to operate in the aftermath of the fighting. We were unprepared both physically and mentally.”

Parents like Roger and Maureen Bacon who lost loved ones in the Iraq war are still struggling to make any sense of it. “I would like to think that he [their son] lost his life in a worthwhile cause but I can’t do that,” said Roger. “We were carried into it [this war] and I can’t emphasise how much I feel this was entirely wrong — this was a complete deception.”

It’s unlikely that the Chilcot Inquiry will provide meaning to an enormous personal loss, but will it at least heal the political and social trauma caused by Tony Blair? To mend Iraq’s wounds in any meaningful way there has to be a sense that justice has been seen to be done for what was a deception of enormous magnitude and consequence. The final judgement of Tony Blair has to be nigh.

 

The Final Judgement of Alleged War Criminal Tony Blair

Read This Before The Government Uses the Orlando Shooting to Start Another War

 

soldier-crying

Late Thursday evening, the Wall Street Journal reported, 51 State Department officials signed a statement condemning U.S. policy in Syria in which they repeatedly call for “targeted military strikes against the Damascus government and urging regime change as the only way to defeat Islamic State.”

“In other words,” as Zero Hedge summarized, “over 50 top ‘diplomats’ are urging to eliminate [Syrian Pres. Bashar al] Assad in order to ‘defeat ISIS’, the same ISIS which top US ‘diplomats’ had unleashed previously in order to … eliminate Assad.”

This Gordian Knot created by United States foreign policy — and intensified by that same policy — means not only could war with Syria be on the horizon, but if that happens, the U.S. could be facing a far more serious threat.

While discontented officials used what’s known as the “Dissent Channel” — “an official forum that allows employees to express opposing views,” State Department spokesman John Kirby explained in the WSJ — Saudi government officials employed more direct means to press their interests with the U.S. in Syria.

In a meeting with President Obama on Friday, Saudi foreign minister Adel al Jubair asserted, “Saudi Arabia supports a more aggressive military approach in Syria to get Assad to agree to a political solution,” as CBS’ Mark Knoller tweeted.

Of course, this meeting and the push for increased military force couldn’t be more timely to drum up public support, as a heated national debate has ensued following the deadly attack on an Orlando nightclub purportedly carried out by Omar Mateen — who pledged loyalty to ISIS as he killed 49 people and wounded over 50 others.

Despite the CIA’s report acknowledging it found no tangible connections between Mateen and the so-called Islamic state — also released on Friday — the narrative concerning his ISIS ties saturated mainstream headlines for days, almost certainly cementing the link in the public’s mind.

Disgruntled politicians eager to overthrow Assad — thus also carrying out Saudi goals — can now facilely flip the script to assert deposing the Syrian government is necessary in the fight against everyone’s enemy, the Islamic State.

“Failure to stem Assad’s flagrant abuses will only bolster the ideological appeal of groups such as Daesh [ISIS, etc.], even as they endure tactical setbacks on the battlefield,” the WSJ reported the dissenting cable stated.

But concerns about bloating ISIS’ following borders on comical, except for the potential waterfall of repercussions from carrying out targeted strikes on the Syrian government, considering the U.S. government, itself, once expressed the desire for the rise of an Islamic State to aid in the overthrow of — you guessed it — Assad.

According to declassified documents obtained by Judicial Watch last year:

If the situation unravels there is the possibility of establishing a declared or undeclared Salafist Principality in eastern Syria (Hasaka and Der Zor), and this is exactly what the supporting powers to the opposition want, in order to isolate the Syrian regime, which is considered the strategic depth of the Shia expansion (Iraq and Iran).

Former Director of National Intelligence and retired U.S. Army Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn, however, spoke to Al Jazeera about this ill-fated, notorious strategical blunder.

“You’re on record as saying that the handling of Syria by this administration has been a mistake. Many people would argue that the U.S. actually saw the rise of ISIL coming and turned a blind eye, or even encouraged as a counterpoint to Assad,” journalist Mehdi Hasan prefaced his query, adding, “The U.S. saw the ISIL caliphate coming and did nothing.”

Flynn responded, “Yeah, I think that we — where we missed the point. I mean, where we totally blew it, I think, was in the very beginning.”

Besides backing and blessings from the Saudi government for aggression on the Syrian front, dissent among U.S. officials couldn’t be more imperative in their eyes, because, as the WSJ reported:

The internal cable may be an attempt to shape the foreign policy outlook for the next administration, the official familiar with the document said. President Barack Obama has balked at taking military action against Mr. Assad, while the Democratic hopeful Hillary Clinton has promised a more hawkish stance against the Syrian leader. Republican candidate Donald Trump has said he would hit Islamic State hard but has also said he would be prepared to work with Russia and Syria.

In fact, as Zero Hedge also noted, an albeit contested report from earlier this week claimed Saudi Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman made comments including “a claim that Riyadh has provided 20 percent of the total funding to” Clinton’s campaign.

Politicians and officials, in other words, are fast aligning a narrative touting the need to wage war with Syria in order to have it carried out by the candidate they assume will next take the White House.

And despite being a risky move in its own right — not to mention a potentially superficial, if not muddying, solution to an almost solely U.S.-created problem — ramping up military airstrikes in Syria could quite literally spark war with Russia.

“The Russian Air Force bombed U.S.-trained rebels in southern Syria not once, but twice Thursday, and the second wave of attacks came after the U.S. military called Russia on an emergency hotline to demand that it stop,” an unnamed defense official with knowledge of the situation told Fox News.

Russia has repeatedly warned against U.S. moves to oust Assad, which President Vladimir Putin’s spokesman, Dmitry Peskov, reiterated following the tense situation Thursday and the report calling for increased military targeting of the Syrian government saying, it “wouldn’t help a successful fight against terrorism and could plunge the region into total chaos.”

As recently as February, Saudi Arabia proposed sending its own troops to join the fight against ISIS — which Russia wholly condemned. As head of the State Duma committee, Pavel Krasheninnikov, warned, “Syria has to give official consent, to invite, otherwise it will be a war.”

Now, it appears, that war might be closer than ever.

Syria doesn’t constitute the only arena of contention between the U.S. and Russia. As Anti-Media reported this week, continued buildup of NATO forces along the old Cold War foe’s borders in the Balkans and Poland — and particularly also in the Black Sea — has provoked Russia sufficiently enough for officials to caution the move might amount to aggression.

“This is not NATO’s maritime space and it has no relation to the alliance,” Russia’s director of European affairs told Interfax.

Nonetheless, the U.S. and E.U. have proffered a policy whereby defense of its installations on foreign soil is being carried out under the cloak of the NATO alliance — possibly with the intent of posturing dominance in the region to create a buffer zone for operations in Syria.

Pipelines through Syria would specifically allow oil and natural gas to flow to the European Union, which currently sources that fuel primarily from Russia. In other words, if Russia wants to defend its profitable relationship with the E.U., it must defend against the U.S.-led, Saudi-supported overthrow of its Syrian ally, Assad.

Meanwhile, civilians in Syria have been treated like cannon fodder and are fleeing for their lives — but the intensifying geopolitical maneuvers appear more likely than ever to have brought us all to the brink of a third world war.

By Claire Bernish

 

This article (Read This Before The Government Uses the Orlando Shooting to Start Another War) is free and open source. You have permission to republish this article under a Creative Commons license with attribution to Claire Bernish and theAntiMedia.org. Anti-Media Radio airs weeknights at 11pm Eastern/8pm Pacific. If you spot a typo, email edits@theantimedia.org.

 

Read This Before The Government Uses the Orlando Shooting to Start Another War.

The Pentagon is building a ‘self-aware’ killer robot army fueled by social media — INSURGE intelligence — Medium

Imagine one of these giant robot dog things being weaponized and chasing you through the jungle because you turned up on a Pentagon kill list after posting angry stuff on social media

The Pentagon is building a ‘self-aware’ killer robot army fueled by social media

Official US defence and NATO documents confirm that autonomous weapon systems will kill targets, including civilians, based on tweets, blogs and Instagram

by Nafeez Ahmed

This exclusive is published by INSURGE INTELLIGENCE, a crowd-funded investigative journalism project for the global commons

An unclassified 2016 Department of Defense (DoD) document, the Human Systems Roadmap Review, reveals that the US military plans to create artificially intelligent (AI) autonomous weapon systems, which will use predictive social media analytics to make decisions on lethal force with minimal human involvement.

Despite official insistence that humans will retain a “meaningful” degree of control over autonomous weapon systems, this and other Pentagon documents dated from 2015 to 2016 confirm that US military planners are already developing technologies designed to enable swarms of “self-aware” interconnected robots to design and execute kill operations against robot-selected targets.

More alarmingly, the documents show that the DoD believes that within just fifteen years, it will be feasible for mission planning, target selection and the deployment of lethal force to be delegated entirely to autonomous weapon systems in air, land and sea. The Pentagon expects AI threat assessments for these autonomous operations to be derived from massive data sets including blogs, websites, and multimedia posts on social media platforms like Twitter, Facebook and Instagram.

The raft of Pentagon documentation flatly contradicts Deputy Defense Secretary Robert Work’s denial that the DoD is planning to develop killer robots.

In a widely reported March conversation with Washington Post columnist David Ignatius, Work said that this may change as rival powers work to create such technologies:

“We might be going up against a competitor that is more willing to delegate authority to machines than we are, and as that competition unfolds we will have to make decisions on how we best can compete.”

But, he insisted, “We will not delegate lethal authority to a machine to make a decision,” except for “cyber or electronic warfare.”

He lied.

Official US defence and NATO documents dissected by INSURGE intelligence reveal that Western governments are already planning to develop autonomous weapons systems with the capacity to make decisions on lethal force — and that such systems, in the future, are even expected to make decisions on acceptable levels of “collateral damage.”

Behind public talks, a secret arms race

Efforts to create autonomous robot killers have evolved over the last decade, but have come to a head this year.

A National Defense Industry Association (NDIA) conference on Ground Robotics Capabilities in March hosted government officials and industry leaders confirming that the Pentagon was developing robot teams that would be able to use lethal force without direction from human operators.

In April, government representatives and international NGOs convened at the United Nations in Geneva to discuss the legal and ethical issues surrounding lethal autonomous weapon systems (LAWS).

That month, the UK government launched a parliamentary inquiry into robotics and AI. And earlier in May, the White House Office of Science and Technology announced a series of public workshops on the wide-ranging social and economic implications of AI.

Prototype Terminator Bots?

Most media outlets have reported the fact that so far, governments have not ruled out the long-term possibility that intelligent robots could be eventually authorized to make decisions to kill human targets autonomously.

But contrary to Robert Work’s claim, active research and development efforts to explore this possibility are already underway. The plans can be gleaned from several unclassified Pentagon documents in the public record that have gone unnoticed, until now.

Among them is a document released in February 2016 from the Pentagon’s Human Systems Community of Interest (HSCOI).

The document shows not only that the Pentagon is actively creating lethal autonomous weapon systems, but that a crucial component of the decision-making process for such robotic systems will include complex Big Data models, one of whose inputs will be public social media posts.

Robots that kill ‘like people’

The HSCOI is a little-known multi-agency research and development network seeded by the Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD), which acts as a central hub for a huge plethora of science and technology work across US military and intelligence agencies.

The document is a 53-page presentation prepared by HSCOI chair, Dr. John Tangney, who is Director of the Office of Naval Research’s Human and Bioengineered Systems Division. Titled Human Systems Roadmap Review, the slides were presented at the NDIA’s Human Systems Conference in February.

The document says that one of the five “building blocks” of the Human Systems program is to “Network-enable, autonomous weapons hardened to operate in a future Cyber/EW [electronic warfare] Environment.” This would allow for “cooperative weapon concepts in communications-denied environments.”

But then the document goes further, identifying a “focus areas” for science and technology development as “Autonomous Weapons: Systems that can take action, when needed”, along with “Architectures for Autonomous Agents and Synthetic Teammates.”

The final objective is the establishment of “autonomous control of multiple unmanned systems for military operations.”

Such autonomous systems must be capable of selecting and engaging targets by themselves — with human “control” drastically minimized to affirming that the operation remains within the parameters of the Commander’s “intent.”

The document explicitly asserts that these new autonomous weapon systems should be able to respond to threats without human involvement, but in a way that simulates human behavior and cognition.

The DoD’s HSCOI program must “bridge the gap between high fidelity simulations of human cognition in laboratory tasks and complex, dynamic environments.”

Referring to the “Mechanisms of Cognitive Processing” of autonomous systems, the document highlights the need for:

“More robust, valid, and integrated mechanisms that enable constructive agents that truly think and act like people.”

The Pentagon’s ultimate goal is to develop “Autonomous control of multiple weapon systems with fewer personnel” as a “force multiplier.”

The new systems must display “highly reliable autonomous cooperative behavior” to allow “agile and robust mission effectiveness across a wide range of situations, and with the many ambiguities associated with the ‘fog of war.’”

Resurrecting the human terrain

The HSCOI consists of senior officials from the US Army, Navy, Marine Corps, Air Force, Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA); and is overseen by the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Research & Engineering and the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Health Affairs.

HSCOI’s work goes well beyond simply creating autonomous weapons systems. An integral part of this is simultaneously advancing human-machine interfaces and predictive analytics.

The latter includes what a HSCOI brochure for the technology industry, ‘Challenges, Opportunities and Future Efforts’, describes as creating “models for socially-based threat prediction” as part of “human activity ISR.”

This is short-hand for intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance of a population in an ‘area of interest’, by collecting and analyzing data on the behaviors, culture, social structure, networks, relationships, motivation, intent, vulnerabilities, and capabilities of a human group.

The idea, according to the brochure, is to bring together open source data from a wide spectrum, including social media sources, in a single analytical interface that can “display knowledge of beliefs, attitudes and norms that motivate in uncertain environments; use that knowledge to construct courses of action to achieve Commander’s intent and minimize unintended consequences; [and] construct models to allow accurate forecasts of predicted events.”

The Human Systems Roadmap Review document from February 2016 shows that this area of development is a legacy of the Pentagon’s controversial “human terrain” program.

The Human Terrain System (HTS) was a US Army Training and Doctrine Command (TRADOC) program established in 2006, which embedded social scientists in the field to augment counterinsurgency operations in theaters like Iraq and Afghanistan.

The idea was to use social scientists and cultural anthropologists to provide the US military actionable insight into local populations to facilitate operations — in other words, to weaponize social science.

The $725 million program was shut down in September 2014 in the wake of growing controversy over its sheer incompetence.

The HSCOI program that replaces it includes social sciences but the greater emphasis is now on combining them with predictive computational models based on Big Data. The brochure puts the projected budget for the new human systems project at $450 million.

The Pentagon’s Human Systems Roadmap Review demonstrates that far from being eliminated, the HTS paradigm has been upgraded as part of a wider multi-agency program that involves integrating Big Data analytics with human-machine interfaces, and ultimately autonomous weapon systems.

The new science of social media crystal ball gazing

The 2016 human systems roadmap explains that the Pentagon’s “vision” is to use “effective engagement with the dynamic human terrain to make better courses of action and predict human responses to our actions” based on “predictive analytics for multi-source data.”

Are those ‘soldiers’ in the photo human… or are they really humanoid (killer) robots?

In a slide entitled, ‘Exploiting Social Data, Dominating Human Terrain, Effective Engagement,’ the document provides further detail on the Pentagon’s goals:

“Effectively evaluate/engage social influence groups in the op-environment to understand and exploit support, threats, and vulnerabilities throughout the conflict space. Master the new information environment with capability to exploit new data sources rapidly.”

The Pentagon wants to draw on massive repositories of open source data that can support “predictive, autonomous analytics to forecast and mitigate human threats and events.”

This means not just developing “behavioral models that reveal sociocultural uncertainty and mission risk”, but creating “forecast models for novel threats and critical events with 48–72 hour timeframes”, and even establishing technology that will use such data to “provide real-time situation awareness.”

According to the document, “full spectrum social media analysis” is to play a huge role in this modeling, to support “I/W [irregular warfare], information operations, and strategic communications.”

This is broken down further into three core areas:

“Media predictive analytics; Content-based text and video retrieval; Social media exploitation for intel.”

The document refers to the use of social media data to forecast future threats and, on this basis, automatically develop recommendations for a “course of action” (CoA).

Under the title ‘Weak Signal Analysis & Social Network Analysis for Threat Forecasting’, the Pentagon highlights the need to:

“Develop real-time understanding of uncertain context with low-cost tools that are easy to train, reduce analyst workload, and inform COA [course of action] selection/analysis.”

In other words, the human input into the development of course of action “selection/analysis” must be increasingly reduced, and replaced with automated predictive analytical models that draw extensively on social media data.

This can even be used to inform soldiers of real-time threats using augmented reality during operations. The document refers to “Social Media Fusion to alert tactical edge Soldiers” and “Person of Interest recognition and associated relations.”

The idea is to identify potential targets — ‘persons of interest’ — and their networks, in real-time, using social media data as ‘intelligence.’

Meaningful human control without humans

Both the US and British governments are therefore rapidly attempting to redefine “human control” and “human intent” in the context of autonomous systems.

Among the problems that emerged at the UN meetings in April is the tendency to dilute the parameters that would allow describing an autonomous weapon system as being tied to “meaningful” human control.

A separate Pentagon document dated March 2016 — a set of presentation slides for that month’s IEEE Conference on Cognitive Methods in Situation Awareness & Decision Support — insists that DoD policy is to ensure that autonomous systems ultimately operate under human supervision:

“[The] main benefits of autonomous capabilities are to extend and complement human performance, not necessarily provide a direct replacement of humans.”

Unfortunately, there is a ‘but’.

The March document, Autonomous Horizons: System Autonomy in the Air Force, was authored by Dr. Greg Zacharias, Chief Scientist of the US Air Force. The IEEE conference where it was presented was sponsored by two leading government defense contractors, Lockheed Martin and United Technologies Corporation, among other patrons.

Further passages of the document are revealing:

“Autonomous decisions can lead to high-regret actions, especially in uncertain environments.”

In particular, the document observes:

“Some DoD activity, such as force application, will occur in complex, unpredictable, and contested environments. Risk is high.”

The solution, supposedly, is to design machines that basically think, learn and problem solve like humans. An autonomous AI system should “be congruent with the way humans parse the problem” and driven by “aiding/automation knowledge management processes along lines of the way humans solve problem [sic].”

A section titled ‘AFRL [Air Force Research Laboratory] Roadmap for Autonomy’ thus demonstrates how by 2020, the US Air Force envisages “Machine-Assisted Ops compressing the kill chain.” The bottom of the slide reads:

“Decisions at the Speed of Computing.”

This two-staged “kill chain” is broken down as follows: firstly, “Defensive system mgr [manager] IDs threats & recommends actions”; secondly, “Intelligence analytic system fuses INT [intelligence] data & cues analyst of threats.”

In this structure, a lethal autonomous weapon system draws on intelligence data to identify a threat, which an analyst simply “IDs”, before recommending “action.”

The analyst’s role here is simply to authorize the kill, but in reality the essential importance of human control — assessment of the integrity of the kill decision — has been relegated to the end of an entirely automated analytical process, as a mere perfunctionary obligation.

By 2030, the document sees human involvement in this process as being reduced even further to an absolute minimum. While a human operator may be kept “in the loop” (in the document’s words) the Pentagon looks forward to a fully autonomous system consisting of:

“Optimized platform operations delivering integrated ISR [intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance] and weapon effects.”

The goal, in other words, is a single integrated lethal autonomous weapon system combining full spectrum analysis of all data sources with “weapon effects” — that is, target selection and execution.

The document goes to pains to layer this vision with a sense of human oversight being ever-present.

AI “system self-awareness”

Yet an even more blunt assertion of the Pentagon’s objective is laid out in a third document, a set of slides titled DoD Autonomy Roadmap presented exactly a year earlier at the NDIA’s Defense Tech Expo.

The document authored by Dr. Jon Bornstein, who leads the DoD’s Autonomy Community of Interest (ACOI), begins by framing its contents with the caveat: “Neither Warfighter nor machine is truly autonomous.”

Yet it goes on to call for machine agents to develop:

“Perception, reasoning, and intelligence allow[ing] for entities to have existence, intent, relationships, and understanding in the battle space relative to a mission.”

This will be the foundation for two types of weapon systems: “Human/ Autonomous System Interaction and Collaboration (HASIC)” and “Scalable Teaming of Autonomous Systems (STAS).”

In the near term, machine agents will be able “to evolve behaviors over time based on a complex and ever-changing knowledge base of the battle space… in the context of mission, background knowledge, intent, and sensor information.”

However, it is the Pentagon’s “far term” vision for machine agents as “self-aware” systems that is particularly disturbing:

“Far Term:

•Ontologies adjusted through common-sense knowledge via intuition.

•Learning approaches based on self-exploration and social interactions.

•Shared cognition

•Behavioral stability through self-modification.

•System self-awareness”

It is in this context of the “self-awareness” of an autonomous weapon system that the document clarifies the need for the system to autonomously develop forward decisions for action, namely:

“Autonomous systems that appropriately use internal model-based/deliberative planning approaches and sensing/perception driven actions/control.”

The Pentagon specifically hopes to create what it calls “trusted autonomous systems”, that is, machine agents whose behavior and reasoning can be fully understood, and therefore “trusted” by humans:

“Collaboration means there must be an understanding of and confidence in behaviors and decision making across a range of conditions. Agent transparency enables the human to understand what the agent is doing and why.”

Once again, this is to facilitate a process by which humans are increasingly removed from the nitty gritty of operations.

In the “Mid Term”, there will be “Improved methods for sharing of authority” between humans and machines. In the “Far Term”, this will have evolved to a machine system functioning autonomously on the basis of “Awareness of ‘commanders intent’” and the “use of indirect feedback mechanisms.”

This will finally create the capacity to deploy “Scalable Teaming of Autonomous Systems (STAS)”, free of overt human direction, in which multiple machine agents display “shared perception, intent and execution.”

Teams of autonomous weapon systems will display “Robust self-organization, adaptation, and collaboration”; “Dynamic adaption, ability to self-organize and dynamically restructure”; and “Agent-to-agent collaboration.”

Notice the lack of human collaboration.

The “far term” vision for such “self-aware” autonomous weapon systems is not, as Robert Work claimed, limited to cyber or electronic warfare, but will include:

“Ground Convoys/Air-ground operations”; “Ballistic rate multi-agent operation”; “Smart munitions.”

These operations might even take place in tight urban environments — “in close proximity to other manned & unmanned systems including crowded military & civilian areas.”

The document admits, though, that the Pentagon’s major challenge is to mitigate against unpredictable environments and emergent behavior.

Autonomous systems are “difficult to assure correct behavior in a countless number of environmental conditions” and are “difficult to sufficiently capture and understand all intended and unintended consequences.”

Terminator teams, led by humans

The Autonomy roadmap document clearly confirms that the Pentagon’s final objective is to delegate the bulk of military operations to autonomous machines, capable of inflicting “Collective Defeat of Hard and Deeply Buried Targets.”

One type of machine agent is the “Autonomous Squad Member (Army)”, which “Integrates machine semantic understanding, reasoning, and perception into a ground robotic system”, and displays:

“Early implementation of a goal reasoning model, Goal-Directed Autonomy (GDA) to provide the robot the ability to self-select new goals when it encounters an unanticipated situation.”

Human team members in the squad must be able “to understand an intelligent agent’s intent, performance, future plans and reasoning processes.”

Another type is described under the header, ‘Autonomy for Air Combat Missions Team (AF).’

Such an autonomous air team, the document envisages, “Develops goal-directed reasoning, machine learning and operator interaction techniques to enable management of multiple, team UAVs.” This will achieve:

“Autonomous decision and team learning enable the TBM [Tactical Battle Manager] to maximize team effectiveness and survivability.”

TBM refers directly to a battle management autonomy software for unmanned aircraft.

The Pentagon still, of course, wants to ensure that there remains a human manual override, which the document describes as enabling a human supervisor “to ‘call a play’ or manually control the system.”

Targeting evil antiwar bloggers

Yet the biggest challenge, nowhere acknowledged in any of the documents, is ensuring that automated AI target selection actually selects real threats, rather than generating or pursuing false positives.

According to the Human Systems roadmap document, the Pentagon has already demonstrated extensive AI analytical capabilities in real-time social media analysis, through a NATO live exercise last year.

During the exercise, Trident Juncture — NATO’s largest exercise in a decade — US military personnel “curated over 2M [million] relevant tweets, including information attacks (trolling) and other conflicts in the information space, including 6 months of baseline analysis.” They also “curated and analyzed over 20K [i.e. 20,000] tweets and 700 Instagrams during the exercise.”

The Pentagon document thus emphasizes that the US Army and Navy can now already “provide real-time situation awareness and automated analytics of social media sources with low manning, at affordable cost”, so that military leaders can “rapidly see whole patterns of data flow and critical pieces of data” and therefore “discern actionable information readily.”

The primary contributor to the Trident Juncture social media analysis for NATO, which occurred over two weeks from late October to early November 2015, was a team led by information scientist Professor Nitin Agarwal of the University of Arkansas, Little Rock.

Agarwal’s project was funded by the US Office of Naval Research, Air Force Research Laboratory and Army Research Office, and conducted in collaboration with NATO’s Allied Joint Force Command and NATO Strategic Communications Center of Excellence.

Slides from a conference presentation about the research show that the NATO-backed project attempted to identify a hostile blog network during the exercise containing “anti-NATO and anti-US propaganda.”

Among the top seven blogs identified as key nodes for anti-NATO internet traffic were websites run by Andreas Speck, an antiwar activist; War Resisters International (WRI); and Egyptian democracy campaigner Maikel Nabil Sanad — along with some Spanish language anti-militarism sites.

Andreas Speck is a former staffer at WRI, which is an international network of pacifist NGOs with offices and members in the UK, Western Europe and the US. One of its funders is the Joseph Rowntree Charitable Trust.

The WRI is fundamentally committed to nonviolence, and campaigns against war and militarism in all forms.

Most of the blogs identified by Agarwal’s NATO project are affiliated to the WRI, including for instance nomilservice.com, WRI’s Egyptian affiliate founded by Maikel Nabil, which campaigns against compulsory military service in Egypt. Nabil was nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize and even supported by the White House for his conscientious objection to Egyptian military atrocities.

The NATO project urges:

“These 7 blogs need to be further monitored.”

The project was touted by Agarwal as a great success: it managed to extract 635 identity markers through metadata from the blog network, including 65 email addresses, 3 “persons”, and 67 phone numbers.

This is the same sort of metadata that is routinely used to help identify human targets for drone strikes — the vast majority of whom are not terrorists, but civilians.

Agarwal’s conference slides list three Pentagon-funded tools that his team created for this sort of social media analysis: Blogtracker, Scraawl, and Focal Structures Analysis.

Flagging up an Egyptian democracy activist like Maikel Nabil as a hostile entity promoting anti-NATO and anti-US propaganda demonstrates that when such automated AI tools are applied to war theatres in complex environments (think Pakistan, Afghanistan and Yemen), the potential to identify individuals or groups critical of US policy as terrorism threats is all too real.

This case demonstrates how deeply flawed the Pentagon’s automation ambitions really are. Even with the final input of independent human expert analysts, entirely peaceful pro-democracy campaigners who oppose war are relegated by NATO to the status of potential national security threats requiring further surveillance.

Compressing the kill chain

It’s often assumed that DoD Directive 3000.09 issued in 2012, ‘Autonomy in Weapon Systems’, limits kill decisions to human operators under the following stipulation in clause 4:

“Autonomous and semi-autonomous weapon systems shall be designed to allow commanders and operators to exercise appropriate levels of human judgment over the use of force.”

After several paragraphs underscoring the necessity of target selection and execution being undertaken under the oversight of a human operator, the Directive goes on to open up the possibility of developing autonomous weapon systems without any human oversight, albeit with the specific approval of senior Pentagon officials:

“Autonomous weapon systems may be used to apply non-lethal, non-kinetic force, such as some forms of electronic attack, against materiel targets… Autonomous or semi-autonomous weapon systems intended to be used in a manner that falls outside the policies in subparagraphs 4.c.(1) through 4.c.(3) must be approved by the Under Secretary of Defense for Policy (USD(P)); the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics (USD(AT&L)); and the CJCS before formal development and again before fielding.”

Rather than prohibiting the development of lethal autonomous weapon systems, the directive simply consolidates all such developments under the explicit authorization of the Pentagon’s top technology chiefs.

Worse, the directive expires on 21st November 2022 — which is around the time such technology is expected to become operational.

Indeed, later that year, Lieutenant Colonel Jeffrey S. Thurnher, a US Army lawyer at the US Naval War College’s International Law Department, published a position paper in the National Defense University publication, Joint Force Quarterly.

If these puppies became self-aware, would they be cuter?

He recommended that there were no substantive legal or ethical obstacles to developing fully autonomous killer robots — as long as such systems are designed in such a way as to maintain a semblance of human oversight through “appropriate control measures.”

In the conclusions to his paper, titled No One At The Controls: Legal Implications of Fully Autonomous Targeting, Thurnher wrote:

“LARs [lethal autonomous robots] have the unique potential to operate at a tempo faster than humans can possibly achieve and to lethally strike even when communications links have been severed. Autonomous targeting technology will likely proliferate to nations and groups around the world. To prevent being surpassed by rivals, the United States should fully commit itself to harnessing the potential of fully autonomous targeting. The feared legal concerns do not appear to be an impediment to the development or deployment of LARs. Thus, operational commanders should take the lead in making this emerging technology a true force multiplier for the joint force.”

Lt. Col. Thurnher went on to become a Legal Advisor for NATO Rapid Deployable Corps in Munster, Germany. In this capacity, he was a contributor to a little-known 2014 official policy guidance document for NATO Allied Command Transformation, Autonomy in Defence Systems.

The NATO document, which aims to provide expert legal advice to government policymakers, sets out a position in which the deployment of autonomous weapon systems for lethal combat — in particular the delegation of targeting and kill decisions to machine agents — is viewed as being perfectly legitimate in principle.

It is the responsibility of specific states, the document concludes, to ensure that autonomous systems operate in compliance with international law in practice — a caveat that also applies for the use of autonomous systems for law-enforcement and self-defence.

In the future, though, the NATO document points to the development of autonomous systems that can “reliably determine when foreseen but unintentional harm to civilians is ethically permissible.”

Acknowledging that currently only humans are able to make a “judgement about the ethical permissibility of foreseen but unintentional harm to civilians (collateral damage)”, the NATO policy document urges states developing autonomous weapon systems to ensure that eventually they “are able to integrate with collateral damage estimation methodologies” so as to delegate targeting and kill decisions accordingly.

The NATO position is particularly extraordinary given that international law — such as the Geneva Conventions — defines foreseen deaths of civilians caused by a military action as intentional, precisely because they were foreseen yet actioned anyway.

The Statute of the International Criminal Court (ICC) identifies such actions as “war crimes”, if a justifiable and direct military advantage cannot be demonstrated:

“… making the civilian population or individual civilians, not taking a direct part in hostilities, the object of attack; launching an attack in the knowledge that such attack will cause incidental loss of civilian life, injury to civilians or damage to civilian objects which would be clearly excessive in relation to the concrete and direct military advantage anticipated;… making civilian objects, that is, objects that are not military objectives, the object of attack.”

And customary international law recognizes the following acts as war crimes:

“… launching an indiscriminate attack resulting in loss of life or injury to civilians or damage to civilian objects; launching an attack against works or installations containing dangerous forces in the knowledge that such attack will cause excessive incidental loss of civilian life, injury to civilians or damage to civilian objects.”

In other words, NATO’s official policy guidance on autonomous weapon systems sanitizes the potential for automated war crimes. The document actually encourages states to eventually develop autonomous weapons capable of inflicting “foreseen but unintentional” harm to civilians in the name of securing a ‘legitimate’ military advantage.

Yet the NATO document does not stop there. It even goes so far as to argue that policymakers considering the development of autonomous weapon systems for lethal combat should reflect on the possibility that delegating target and kill decisions to machine agents would minimize civilian casualties.

Skynet, anyone?

A new report by Paul Scharre, who led the Pentagon working group that drafted DoD Directive 3000.09 and now heads up the future warfare program at the Center for New American Security in Washington DC, does not mince words about the potentially “catastrophic” risks of relying on autonomous weapon systems.

“With an autonomous weapon,” he writes, “the damage potential before a human controller is able to intervene could be far greater…

“In the most extreme case, an autonomous weapon could continue engaging inappropriate targets until it exhausts its magazine, potentially over a wide area. If the failure mode is replicated in other autonomous weapons of the same type, a military could face the disturbing prospect of large numbers of autonomous weapons failing simultaneously, with potentially catastrophic consequences.”

Scharre points out that “autonomous weapons pose a novel risk of mass fratricide, with large numbers of weapons turning on friendly forces,” due to any number of potential reasons, including “hacking, enemy behavioral manipulation, unexpected interactions with the environment, or simple malfunctions or software errors.”

Noting that in the software industry, for every 1,000 lines of code, there are between 15 and 50 errors, Scharre points out that such marginal, routine errors could easily accumulate to create unexpected results that could be missed even by the most stringent testing and validation methods.

The more complex the system, the more difficult it will be to verify and track the system’s behavior under all possible conditions: “… the number of potential interactions within the system and with its environment is simply too large.”

The documents discussed here show that the Pentagon is going to pains to develop ways to mitigate these risks.

But as Scharre concludes, “these risks cannot be eliminated entirely. Complex tightly coupled systems are inherently vulnerable to ‘normal accidents.’ The risk of accidents can be reduced, but never can be entirely eliminated.”

As the trajectory toward AI autonomy and complexity accelerates, so does the risk that autonomous weapon systems will, eventually, wreak havoc.

Dr Nafeez Ahmed is an investigative journalist, bestselling author and international security scholar. A former Guardian writer, he writes the ‘System Shift’ column for VICE’s Motherboard, and is a weekly columnist for Middle East Eye.

He is the winner of a 2015 Project Censored Award for Outstanding Investigative Journalism for his Guardian work, and was twice selected in the Evening Standard’s top 1,000 most globally influential Londoners, in 2014 and 2015.

Nafeez has also written and reported for The Independent, Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, The Scotsman, Foreign Policy, The Atlantic, Quartz, Prospect, New Statesman, Le Monde diplomatique, New Internationalist, The Ecologist, Alternet, Counterpunch, Truthout, among others.

He is a Visiting Research Fellow at the Faculty of Science and Technology at Anglia Ruskin University, where he is researching the link between global systemic crises and civil unrest for Springer Energy Briefs.

Nafeez is the author of A User’s Guide to the Crisis of Civilization: And How to Save It (2010), and the scifi thriller novel ZERO POINT, among other books. His work on the root causes and covert operations linked to international terrorism officially contributed to the 9/11 Commission and the 7/7 Coroner’s Inquest.


This story is being released for free in the public interest, and was enabled by crowdfunding. I’d like to thank my amazing community of patrons for their support, which gave me the opportunity to work on this story. Please support independent, investigative journalism for the global commons via Patreon.com, where you can donate as much or as little as you like.

 

The Pentagon is building a ‘self-aware’ killer robot army fueled by social media — INSURGE intelligence — Medium.

EXCLUSIVE: Report on the “Moderate Rebel” Chemical Attacks Yesterday in Aleppo

Yesterday US and NATO backed “moderate rebels” aka terrorists from various factions shelled Kurdish areas of Aleppo with chemical weapons.

The silence from western and gulf media has been deafening, only RT and Press TV immediately broke news of the attack on Kurdish sectors of the terrorist occupied Aleppo that is being retaken piece by piece by the Syrian Arab Army and allies.

 

The following is an unedited report from a citizen of Aleppo whose name we withhold to ensure their security in a volatile situation:

“The Sheikh Maqsoud sector of Aleppo city, which is under the Kurds control  had been hit and attacked several times after the beginning of the ceasefire, since I was there.

The new news though that I started reading since yesterday, that the terrorists started using chemical weapons against civilians over there.

Did Mr. Staffan de Mistura know about that? Did Mr. Ban Ki-moon hear of it? I doubt it. All they are concerned and obsessed about is toppling Assad and the transitional phase after Assad.

The ceasefire is over in Aleppo, after the great violations took place few days ago on southern Aleppo province areas, when several terrorist groups [whom signed on and approved the ceasefire] broke their words and the transitional phase after Assad.

The SAA and its allies didn’t want that ceasefire from the beginning. The UN always impose ceasefires when the SAA starts to win on ground. Its a way to give another chance for terrorists to arm and prepare themselves for the next violation. 

Now, there is no ceasefire. Aleppo battle seems to be starting soon, as Russians, SAA, Hezbollah and others are continuing what they were doing before the ceasefire.

Liberating Aleppo city.

A week ago, Deir ez-Zowr city was attacked by Da’esh, using chemical weapons as well. Syrian army doesn’t have that weapon any more, so they can’t blame Assad of using it.

However, it seems that no one really care any more in that corrupted, two faced UN.

Three years ago, such news would have been seen 24/7 on all global media claiming:

“The “Dictator” is killing his people with chemical weapons”.

But now, days and weeks have passed and I hardly ever could find any mention of such news, especially at the UN. They are suffering from deafness and blindness now.

Or, they are happy to use this attack against Assad, SAA, and Syrian people?”

Watch this second part of the report…

Source : 21st Century Wire

“Autocracy” Vs. “Democracy”: Stunning Before And After Pictures Of Syria’s Largest City

As we documented last autumn in “Syria Showdown: Russia, Iran Rally Forces, US Rearms Rebels As ‘Promised’ Battle For Aleppo Begins,” Syria’s largest city has been among the hardest hit of the country’s urban centers over the course of the last five years.

Newsweek documented the destruction in a series of stark and profoundly indelible images in 2012, perhaps the most striking of which was this:

Recapturing the city is critical to restoring Bashar al-Assad’s grip on power.

If Aleppo is liberated, the rebellion will be all but crushed. The Alawite government would once again control the country’s urban backbone in the west and, more importantly from a big picture perspective, Iran would have scored a major victory in the effort to preserve the Shiite crescent not to mention its supply lines to Hezbollah.

Likewise, a victory at Aleppo would invalidate US claims that Vladimir Putin was destined to get Moscow into a “quagmire” in Syria and the Russians would score a major geopolitical coup by effectively replacing the US as Mid-East superpower puppet master.

As for the Gulf monarchies, the demise of the Sunni insurgency in Syria would be a bitter blow. The effort to roll back Iranian influence would be forever remembered as an abject failure and Tehran would score sectarian bragging rights over Riyadh just as international sanctions are lifted and Iran ramps up crude production.

So important is the battle for the city that Quds commander Qassem Soleimani himself supervised the initial stages of the push north from Latakia before disappearing into thin air in November only to resurface two days ago at a rally celebrating the Islamic Revolution.

Now that the eyes of the world are on Aleppo which may well go down in history as the site where World War III began, we thought it an opportune time to bring you the following before and after images which depict what life was like in the city under the “brutal dictatorship” of Bashar al-Assad and what life is like now that the US has exported democracy to Syria.

Autocracy:

Democracy:

Autocracy:

Democracy:

Autocracy:

Democracy:

Autocracy:

Democracy:

Autocracy:

Democracy:

“Yes we can”… destroy the entire Middle East…

 

Source : Zero Hedge.

The Syrian Endgame, “A Lost War is Dangerous”. US-NATO, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, “Losers on The Rampage”

How a war is lost is a serious and dangerous business. After Henry Kissinger helped sabotage the 1968 Paris peace talks, for domestic political reasons, the War in Vietnam raged for another seven years. In the end Washington’s loss was more humiliating, and millions more lives were destroyed.

The Geneva process over Syria is in many respects different, because it is a charade. The NATO and Gulf monarchy sponsors pretend to support Syrian ‘opposition’ groups and pretend to fight the same extremist groups they created.

Yet the dangers are very real because the Saudis and Turkey might react unpredictably, faced with the failure of their five year project to carve up Syria. Both countries have threatened to invade Syria, to defend their ‘assets’ from inevitable defeat from the powerful alliance Syria has forged with Russia, Iran, Iraq and the better party of Lebanon.

It should be clear by now that every single anti-government armed group in Syria has been created by Washington and its allies. Several senior US officials have admitted the fact. Regime change has always been the goal. Nevertheless, the charade of a ‘War on ISIS’ goes on, with a compliant western media unwilling to point out that ‘the emperor has no clothes’.

Click image to order Prof. Tim Anderson’s book on Syria

Geneva 3 has actually brought some results. First, none of the NATO-backed ‘opposition’ groups managed to show a credible face. Second, and more importantly, the US and Russia kept talking and actually developed another de-escalation plan. It is not conclusive but it is encouraging.

The ‘moderate rebel’ masks are down, we now know who they are: the internationally proscribed terrorist group Jabhat al Nusra (al Qaeda in Syria) and its long term Salafist allies Jaysh al Islam (the Army of Islam) and Ahrar as Sham. The latter two are the remnants of the Syrian Salafist groups. In northern Syria they are also welded together by Turkey and the Saudis into the very non-moderate-sounding Jaysh al Fatah (the Army of Conquest).

These extremist groups represent very few in Syria, as MINT Press journalist Mnar Muhawesh pointed out in her editorial piece ‘The Syrian Opposition’s NATO Sponsored Apocalyptic Vision For Syria’: In ideology they are no different to ISIS.

(See: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bvq0JmzqR_8).

It may be stating the obvious to say that al Qaeda groups have poor negotiating skills. In any event, they proved it in Geneva. Losing on the battlefield they demanded capitulation in Geneva, then stormed out.

Foreign backed terrorists aside, who are the real Syrian opposition?

Firstly, they are the groups that created the 2005 Damascus Declaration but who sided with the state and the army in early 2011, when the Salafist insurrection hijacked the reform demonstrations.

Some of them like Haytham Manna and former minister Qadri Jamil appeared in Geneva. Others like the powerful Syrian Social National Party (SSNP) backed Bashar al Assad’s government, back in 2011.

Still others sat on the sidelines, frustrated at the Muslim Brotherhood’s violent hijacking of the reform movement. Sharmine Narwani’s piece at RT ‘Will Geneva talks lead right back to Assad’s 2011 reforms?’ illustrates this very well. As the Damascus Declaration made plain, most of the Syrian opposition rejected both foreign sponsorship and violent attacks on the state.

Second are the Syrian Kurds, who were open to foreign assistance but rejected attacks on the Syrian Army and state. They have received most of their arms from Damascus. Prefering to side with the Syrian Army than the Salafists, their presence in Geneva was not tolerated by Erdogan or his clients.

That left Russia and the USA to discuss their supposed common goals (destroying terrorists) while Erdogan and the Saudis seethed. The aims of the two big powers are worlds apart. Hat difference is seen in the loss of Washington’s proxies in Syria in face of the rise of the 4+1 (Russia, Syria, Iran, Iraq and Hezbollah).

That shift, in turn, threatens to derail the Bush plan for a ‘New Middle East’. The US wanted to control the entire region, now it faces losing it all.

Russia for its part has pursued its own interests in the region, backing its allies in accordance with international law. Its use of air power in Syria followed the Syria-Iran-Iraq-Hezbollah accord on ground power forces. That is the force currently prevailing on Syrian soil.

The good news is that, despite these widely differing aims, Washington and Moscow have kept talking and managed a provisional agreement at Geneva, with three heads.

The first agreement is over humanitarian aid, which faces serious obstacles due to the series of sieges taking place. Some of these are al Qaeda groups’ sieges, such as that on Foua and Kafraya in the north; but increasingly they are becoming Syrian Army sieges on al Qaeda fighters who hole up in towns and cities, such as Madaya and Eastern Aleppo. Most ground aid is going in through the Government-supervised Syria Arab Red Crescent, but air drops are being organised for Deir eZorr, and some other places.

Second, there is a political process which (it has been agreed) must be exclusively between Syrians, unconditional and inclusive. Contrary to many outside reports, there is not yet any framework for this, nor plans for early elections. The Syrian position, backed by Russia, is that the Syrian constitution (and the legally mandated schedule of elections) prevails until the Syrian people vote to change it.

Finally the agreement on ‘cessation of hostilities’, due almost immediately, has a task force to oversee the details. This ceasefire does not apply to any group identified by the UN Security Council as a terrorist group. That immediately rules out ISIS or Jabhat al Nusra. The major obstacle here is that Russia wants Jaysh al Islam and Ahrar as Sham (which have both collaborated with al Nusra for many years) added to the UNSC list. If Washington agrees to this, they will virtually abandon their ‘moderate rebel’ option. There is no other force of substance on the ground. The Saudis and Erdogan would be furious.

How will the US manage these tensions? The Obama administration has always approached the Syrian conflict in an arms-length way, reminiscent of the CIA’s ‘plausible deniability’ over its death squads in Latin America. But credibility problems have grown and Washington does seem more concerned at finding a way out rather than risking a new desperate gambit. That would certainly lead to serious escalation, and without any guarantee of success.

Would Washington allow Erdogan and the Saudis to initiate a major escalation, without US approval? I think not. Obama resisted Saudi and Israeli provocations, when the Iran deal was imminent. Even Bush could not be provoked into a confrontation with Russia, when invited by Georgia’s Mikheil Saakashvili.

For its part, Russia is well prepared for a provocation across the Turkish border. Logic suggests that the losers must lose. But this is a dangerous time.

 

Source : Global Research

WW III: 18 Days Away-Russia Prime Minister Warns US and Arab Countries: Invading Syria “Will Start a NEW WORLD WAR

 

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Russia has publicly warned Saudi Arabia, the US, and other countries, they risk “a new world war” if they act on plans to send troops into Syria. WW3: 18 days away.

I am not certain if you are familiar with me, I am Hal Turner, a talk-radio host on WBCQ International Shortwave (7.490 MHz) and 95.1 FM in New York City, “SuperStation95.”  I do not own this web site nor do I author any of the news or articles which appear here.  This is my very first contribution to this web site’s content and I am taking this unusual step because something terrible is taking place: All of us are now in grave danger and it is imperative that you be told before it is too late.

National Security Intelligence Asset; FBI Joint Terrorism Task Force

First, some quick background on me: As some of you may already know, from 1993 through 2008, I worked for the FBI.   From 2003 through 2008, I was a National Security Intelligence Asset with the FBI Joint Terrorism Task Force (JTTF).  I left the FBI in 2008 and a year later, was horribly betrayed by the Obama Administration who had me arrested for saying in public (in 2009), the exact same words the government paid me to say several years earlier in 2005!   I am the only living American media personality ever imprisoned by the federal government for writing an Editorial they didn’t like!

After putting me on trial THREE times, driving me into Bankruptcy and replacing my lawyers with a public defender, they won at trial #3 and imprisoned me for 33 months in federal prison.  I was released in 2012, was barred by court order from being on the radio for three years, and was then able to resume my radio show on October 7, 2015.

When I was put on trial in Brooklyn Federal Court, the third highest ranking official from the FBI in New York City, Assistant Special Agent in Charge (ASAC) Amy Pickett, testified in  court that my role was “National Security Intelligence, Terrorism and Foreign Counter-Intelligence.”   I tell you all of this to make it very clear When I tell you what I am about to tell you, please know it is 100% accurate fact.

We are 18 days away from World War 3

I am not certain if you had a chance to tune-in to my radio show last night.  I spent the better part of an hour talking about the fast-developing situation in the Middle East regarding Syria.  The short-and-sweet of it is that we are now in very grave danger.  When I say “we” I mean me, you, our families, friends . . .country . . . . all of us.  This is not an exaggeration.

RECOMMENDED ARTICLE:  BREAKING NEWS WW III-CIA CHIEF INFORMING: ISIS Used Chemical Weapons, May Have More-‘ISIS Branch’ Seeking To Produce Chemical Weapons – Iraq and US Intel.

I have been in regular contact with my former colleagues from the FBI and other government agencies and they concur with my analysis! We are very rapidly approaching a conflict the likes of which the world has not seen since the 1940’s and this one is highly likely to go nuclear very early.  Tactical (Battlefield) nukes absolutely, positively, WILL be used.  There is no avoiding it.  I will explain why, below.

Here are the terrifying facts you need to know

Syria, in the Middle East, is suffering from a Civil War which has been going on for several years.  Rebels have been trying to overthrow Syrian President Bashar Assad.  The Rebels are backed by Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Qatar, Kuwait, Pakistan and other Sunni Muslim countries.  Those Sunni Muslim countries do not like that Syria’s President, Bashar Assad, is an Alawite Muslim, with beliefs closer to Shia Islam – the Iranian version of that “religion.”   Shias and Sunnis are ideological enemies on a horrific scale.

It is in the interest of the Sunni nations to have Assad overthrown, so they can enjoy hegemony over Syria and bring it into the Sunni sphere of influence as opposed to Syria getting closer to Iran and their Shia version of Islam.

The US also backed the rebels because, for whatever reason, we wanted Syria destabilized, as we did with Iraq, Libya and pretty much every other nation we’ve screwed-up for the past decade!  In short, we in the U.S. and our allies, are backing rebels who are trying to overthrow the Syrian government.  We’re backing “the bad guys.”

Syria has always been a military ally of Russia.  Russia has a deep water port in Syria which is important to the Russian Navy.  When it became clear to Russia that Syria was going to fall to the Rebels, Russia announced they were coming to the aid of their ally, at the request of Syria and with its permission.

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The Rebels, Terrorists and their Accomplices

These “rebels” are a murky bunch.  Some call themselves the “Free Syrian Army” while others are part of the Al-Nusra Front.  But the rebels are also cozy with folks in Al Qaida and ISIS; outright terrorists.

ISIS takes over entire regions of countries, steals the resources and uses the cash from the stolen resources to fund its worldwide terror attacks.  In Syria, ISIS controls the second largest city, Aleppo and another, smaller city Raqqa.  In Iraq, ISIS controls Mosul.  These are oil-rich areas of the two countries, and ISIS has been stealing the oil.

MUST RED-EMP SOON TO BE COMING OVER THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA. NO NUCLEAR WAR.. BUT, WHY? 

What the rest of the world didn’t know until recently, was that Turkey has been covertly working with ISIS.  Turkey has been allowing literally thousands of oil tanker trucks from Iraq and Syria to carry stolen oil into Turkey, EVERY DAY, where it is slightly refined, re-packaged to look legitimate, then sold “on-the-cheap” so no one asks any questions.  This oil theft operation has netted ISIS $100 Million per month! ! ! !

isis3

Russia Enters To Assist Their Ally

When Russia entered the Syrian fight, they had two targets:

1) Rebels who were trying to overthrow Syrian President Bashar Assad, AND;

2) Terrorists

Russia has excellent intelligence-gathering systems, has very good spy satellites, and very good sig-int (Signals Intelligence) which spies on electronic communications.  Through these systems, Russia came to know where ISIS was operating and how.  Russia began attacking them with air strikes.  This severely affected the flow of stolen oil.  With less stolen oil flowing, less money was coming in, and everyone who was “in” on the stolen oil money, started losing profits.  The highest levels of the Turkish government, including its President and his sons, are “in” on the oil smuggling.

With Russia putting  a damper on the stolen oil, and cutting into profits, Turkey decided to send Russia a message to knock it off: They shot down a Russian Bomber.

You may recall at the time that Russian President Putin described this as “A stab in the back of Russia by accomplices to terrorism.”  No one understood what “ACCOMPLICES TO TERRORISM”  meant, until Russia’s  intelligence people revealed publicly, surveillance videos of the convoys of oil trucks carrying stolen oil into Turkey.  Then, everything became quite clear.

In the ensuing months, Russia has made incredibly good progress against both the Rebels and the Terrorists.  They really are doing a lot of good.

But this is interfering with Saudi Arabia’s grand plans, Turkey’s stolen-oil-money-profits and the intent of other Sunni Muslim countries to control Syria.  It is also riling the US who wants Assad out.

MUST READ-WWIII: The Nuclear Holocaust Is Coming To a City Near You…Iran’s Nuclear Program.North Korea And Weapons Of Mass Destruction.Russia Ready To Use Nuclear Weapons.Wanna Survive?

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As Rebels Lose, Saudis Begin Talk of Invasion

Last week, Syrian forces, with Russian and Iranian help, began encircling the City of Aleppo, Syria.  When Saudi Arabia and its pals saw that Aleppo was being circled – and would fall – they knew that their entire effort to overthrow Assad would fall too.  Aleppo is a key Rebel/Terrorist stronghold and if it goes, the fight is done for the Rebels.

So last weekend, Saudi Arabia publicly floated the idea of sending 150,000 ground troops into Syria “to fight ISIS.”  Well, everyone who knows what’s really going on now, understands the Saudi’s are full of shit.  They don’t want to “fight ISIS” they want to help the rebels overthrow Assad!  Turkey wants to protect ISIS so they can keep grabbing boatloads of cash from the stolen oil.

Nobody who mattered took the Saudi offer seriously because everyone knows what’s really going on. This did not sit well with the Saudis or the US.  So U.S. Defense Secretary Ash Carter publicly described the Saudi offer of 150,000 ground troops as “a good idea” which he would “discuss with our other allies.” 

alive AFTER

The Public WARNINGS Begin

Syria and Russia both read between the lines and saw the writing on the wall:  If foreign ground troops come in, it will not be to fight ISIS, it will be to support the rebels and overthrow Assad.  So Syria’s Foreign Minister went public and said, No one should think they can challenge Syria’s territorial sovereignty and anyone who tries will be sent home in a wooden coffin.”  Then a member of the Russian State Duma (Parliament) publicly stated that “If any foreign troops enter Syria without permission from the Syrian government, Russia will consider that a declaration of war.”

The world took a “pregnant pause.” These are heavy duty words from Russia which is – like it or not – a super power.

Wednesday, I got word from my colleagues in the Intelligence Community that Saudi Arabia and 25 of its “allies” had begun massing troops in northern Saudi Arabia.  This time, it wasn’t the 150,000 that were mentioned earlier.  This time it is 350,000 ground troops. 

Then the shit hit the fan when it was confirmed that the Saudis and their allies are already transportingTWENTY THOUSAND TANKS.  (20,000).   Worse, 2,450 warplanes are enroute to northern Saudi Arabia and the Saudis have declared the airspace in the northern section of the country to be “closed.”  Lastly, in addition to the 2,450 warplanes, four-hundred-sixty (460) military helicopters are enroute as well.

Saudi Arabia had the balls to claim this was all part of an “exercise.”  Bullshit.  There has never, in the history of human existence, been an “exercise” with 350,000 troops, 20,000 tanks, 2,450 warplanes and 460 military helicopters.  There is just no way to have an exercise of that magnitude, it is too damn large.  What’s really taking place is the massing of an invasion force.  Saudi Arabia also said the exercise would take 18 days.  That would put it as ending February 28.

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When this info came out, Russia repeated its warning that any foreign troops entering Syria without permission would be a declaration of war.

This time, there was no “pregnant pause.”  This time, the Saudis had one of their Brig. Generals come out on TV and state “The decision to send ground troops into Syria is final.”  That statement came out earlier today.

Late this afternoon, Defense Secretary Ash Carter announced he was “asking NATO allies to join a US coalition to send ground troops into Syria.”  This is directly threatening the Russians that they will be facing NATO!

The Russian response was swift:  This evening Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev warned that “the demands of some Arab countries to send ground forces into Syria risks starting a new world war.” Mr. Medvedev said sending troops to Syria risks drawing “everyone taking part in it into a war” and drastically escalating the conflict. “All ground operations, as a rule, lead to permanent wars,” he said. “The Americans must consider – both the U.S. president and our Arab partners – whether or not they want a permanent war.”  Russia again repeated its warning that any foreign ground troops entering Syria without permission would be a declaration of war.

Late this evening, The Irish Times broke news that the intent of Saudi Arabia sending ground forces is “to counter Russia.”   Whoa!  When did the mission change from fighting ISIS to “countering Russia?”  Who decided that?

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We are now watching World War Three being put into operation

Oh, My Dear Holy God!  I cannot believe I am watching this take place.  We are literally watching World War Three be put into motion and the clock is ticking:  18 days max.

Here’s the worst part:  When NATO was first created to protect Europe from what was the big, bad Soviet Union, the Soviets enjoyed huge advantages in all military force.  Russia could field 100 Divisions; NATO could only field 12.  Russia could field 18,000 tanks.  NATO could only field about 5,000.  So NATO adopted the“flexible response strategy.”

The ONLY possible way to delay or halt the advance of 100 Army Divisions with 18,000 tanks is to use Tactical (Battlefield) nuclear weapons as a “force multiplier.”  NATO thus no longer needed to match the size and strength of Russia, because a  doctrine had been adopted to equal the balance of power by using Tactical nukes.  The Deterrent threat of that possibility worked!  It kept the peace.

Fast-Forward to today.  To this very moment, the ONLY way to stop 350,000 ground troops with 20,000 tanks coming at you is to use tactical nukes. There simply is no other choice.

Russia has adopted a first strike doctrine.  If Russia, or its territory or its interests are faced with being over-run, they will  use tactical nukes to deal with that problem.

So here we have it:  Russia now faces being over-run in Syria starting 18 days from now.  The ONLY possible way they can stop 350,000 ground troops backed by 20,000 tanks, is to use tactical nukes. Their formal policy is to do exactly that.  Hence, tactical (Battlefield) nuclear weapons will be used.  There’s no way to avoid it because it is the only possible defense against 350,000 ground troops and 20,000 tanks coming across the border.

 As the artillery-fired nuclear shells start detonating, they will spread radiation into Jordan or Iraq – whichever nation is the entry point for the mass of troops.  Wind will carry that radiation deep into those countries.

MUST READ–Proof Something Big & Bad Is About To Happen: What The Elite Know Has Just Been Exposed

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Perhaps very small (5kt) devices will be launched by (undetectable) cruise missiles directly into Saudi Arabia because that’s where the mass of troops is coming from?  Again, the wind will carry the fallout elsewhere inside that nation too.

American Mass Media Keeping All of This Quiet

The American media is totally silent about all this.  This is by design; they want you to be taken totally by surprise when war breaks out, so you’ll be too scared to think, and instead, will just do what the politicians tell you.

When this war breaks out — 18 days from now — and the Russians do what they mustto protect Syria from being over-run, the ONLY thing the American public will be told is “Russia attacked Saudi Arabia with nuclear weapons.  Saudi Arabia is our ally and we are going to help them.”

Americans, completely ignorant of who is _really_ the bad guy here (the Sunnis and the US), will hear that “Russia attacked our allies with nukes” they’ll gasp and say to themselves “those bastards” and off to war they’ll go; a war that will have already gone nuclear.  WW3 . . . 18 days from now.

Bear in mind there have always been questions about President Obama’s religious leanings.  He has claimed he is a Christian.  But in verbal slips from time to time, he has talked of his “Muslim faith.”  If Obama is, in fact, a Muslim, then it is proper to ask if he leans Sunni or Shia.   The facts seem to show the answer:  Look at the sweetheart nuclear deal he gave to (Shia) Iran!

ALSO READ:  DECLASSIFIED DOCUMENTS: Obama Ordered CIA To Train ISIS .Why The CIA Created ISIS?

Would Obama use a deception like this to lead the Sunnis to destruction? Maybe.   Would Obama risk causing a nuclear exchange with Russia, destroying parts of his own country?  Well, if he _is_ a Shia, one need only remember that (Shia) Iran refers to the US as “the Great Satan.” so this could be a way for Obama to achieve two enormous goals: lead the Sunnis to THEIR destruction at the hands of Russia, then cause the “great satan” severe destruction too.

If Obama is a Shia muslim, it would be “mission accomplished” for him!

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My Fellow Americans, we must act now to stop this

Ladies and gentlemen, my fellow citizens, we cannot sit back and allow this to take place.  We cannot allow people to start a world war over religious beliefs and an egotistical desire to control other countries.  We cannot send our sons to war for this nonsense!  I have a son of Draft age.  I speak now, as his father, to protect him from this insanity.

Please spread the word.  Send links to this article to everyone you know.  Please tell your family, friends, neighbors, co-workers to read this story so they know what’s actually taking place and how much danger we are all facing.  There does not have to be a war.  A nuclear war.

Unless we stand-up, right now, and tell our elected public SERVANTS that we absolutely forbid them from sending ground troops into Syria, they will lead us to utter destruction . . .  and they have a very good motive for doing it:

Economic Collapse

The government in the US, and those in Europe, need a DIVERSION to shift the public’s attention away from the coming economic collapse.

Right now, banks throughout Europe are on the edge of collapse from their bad loans, speculation and corruption. In Germany, for instance, Deutsch Bank has seen more than fifty percent (50%) of its stock value get wiped out, with 40% of that fall since January 1.  People are pulling money out in droves.  The banks are becoming unstable.

If (or when) Deutsch Bank collapses, they are exposed to “Derivatives” worth $50 TRILLION.  When the bank fails, the $50 TRILLION hits the rest of the banks and they collapse too.

In the USA, the “too big to fail” banks are now also heading into collapse because instead of changing when they needed bailouts in 2008, they kept right on doing what they were doing! Now they are all bigger and in worse debt!

The governments do not have the credit or the cash to bail out the banks again, so when the banks go under — and they will — the governments need to divert people’s attention from the fact that their life savings and retirement moneys have been wiped out; . . . . . . a “limited nuclear war” is just what they need to shift people’s attention away from losing their life savings!

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IT MAY ALREADY BE TOO LATE

We may not be able to stop what’s coming, but we have to at least TRY.  There does not have to be a war.

There is no reason or legitimate interest, in overthrowing the government of Syria and we are backing the bad guys if we continue trying to do that.

If we allow Saudi Arabia and their Muslim buddies to go into Syria, it absolutely, positively will result in immediate war with Russia, and the Saudis are massing so much firepower and armor that the only way Russia can defend Syria is to use tactical nukes.

Once that happens, the US will get sucked-in and our children will be sent to fight and die . . . . all as a diversion from the economic collapse caused by greedy bankers and inept politicians.

Please post links to this article via FACEBOOK, TWITTER, Google+, Pinterest, Instagram, Craig’s List and whatever bulletin boards or forums you frequent.  We HAVE to get the word out about what is taking place so our fellow citizens are not blind-sided by a war that does not have to take place.

Call your U.S. Congressmen, call your U.S. Senators, tell them that as a citizen and voter, YOU FORBID THEM from sending our ground troops into Syria.  It is none of our business and you FORBID THEM from doing it.  And make sure they understand that if they disobey you, and allow this to take place, nothing they ever do in office again will get you to vote for them.  Make it personal to each of them.  Make it clear from this, they cannot politically survive.  Make clear this is a career-ender by election defeat if they disobey.

Time is of the essence.  There are only a maximum of 18 days left before it all goes to hell, and it may happen sooner than that.

May God Bless you and may God Bless the United States of America!

japan-earthquake-nuclear-youtube-14-march-2011


 

SOURCES for VERIFICATION of facts in article above:

Post by – Feb 2016

Source: 350,000 troops, 20,000 tanks, 2450 warplanes, 460 helicopters: http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2016/02/09/449380/Saudi-Arabia-military-maneuver-North-Thunder
Source: Syrian Foreign Minister says invaders will return to their country in wooden coffins: http://nypost.com/2016/02/06/syrian-official-says-foreign-troops-entering-syria-will-return-in-coffins/
Source: Russia member of Duma (Parliament) says Russia will view any entry of foreign troops without Syrian permission, to be a declaration of war: http://www.almanar.com.lb/english/adetails.php?eid=254274&cid=23&fromval=1&frid=23&seccatid=28&s1=1
Source: Saudi Brigadiere General confirms: The decision to send ground troops into Syria is Final.http://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/middle-east/2016/02/11/Spokesman-Saudi-decision-to-send-troops-in-Syria-is-final.html
Source: US Defense Secretary asks NATO to join sending ground troops into Syria:http://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/feb/10/us-will-not-rule-out-saudi-ground-troops-being-sent-into-Syria
Source: Russian Prime Minister warns US and Arab countries that sending ground troops into Syria will start another world war. https://www.rt.com/news/332230-syria-permanent-war-saudis-us/

 

Source : The Millennium Report.

WW3 LIVE!!! Turkey Shelling into Syria; Directly Attacking Syrian Arab Army and perimeter of Russian Base in Latakia

LIVE UPDATES EVERY FEW MINUTES . . . .

It appears that World War 3 is beginning right now.  This morning, Turkish Artillery began shelling positions outside of Azzaz, Syria.  Those positions are held by the Syrian Arab Army (legitimate, duly-elected government of Syria) and are NOT being aimed at ISIS terrorists! These are direct attacks by Turkey upon the lawful government forces of Syria.With their rebel pals falling to the legitimate government of Syria, Turkey has now begun shelling into Syria to aid their Rebel forces and ISIS Terrorists!

 

Sources on the ground inside Syria tell SuperStation95 that the Turks began a furious artillery barrage at about 6:00 AM eastern US time today.  Turkey is attacking the Kurdish YPG .

 

 

It is unclear at this time, whether the YPG is pro-Bashar Assad and his duly elected government, but it is clear that YPG directly engaged and destroyed ISIS in past battles.  So on the surface, it appears that YPG are the “good guys” and Turkey is attacking them!

 

It is not known if Russian air forces will engage the artillery firing into Syria because to do so would mean attacking those forces  located inside Turkey.  If Russia were to attack them – even though they have lawful cause to do so — it is clear that Turkey would cry to NATO that they had been “attacked” and try to invoke Article 5 of the NATO self-defense agreement.  That would require NATO to come to the defense of Turkey, thus engaging Russia directly.

 

One intelligence source in the US, who must remain anonymous – told SuperStation95 “This has disaster written all over it.”

 

 

 

This is a fast developing story, and will be updated frequently today (13 February 2016).  Check back often.

 

 

 

UPDATE:  12:10 PM EST —  Turkish Official boldly declares “major escalation will take place in Syria within 24 hours.”

 

 

 

UPDATE: 12:32 PM EST — Turkish warplanes are flying on the Turkey side of the Turkey/Syria Border, fast and low.    Russian warplanes are flying on the Syrian side of the Turkey/Syria border.  If any single one of these pilots flies across — or fires across – the border, all hell is going break lose TODAY.

 

 

 

UPDATE 12:50 PM EST — Kuwait caught moving troops and war gear into Turkey! A Kuwaiti Air Force C-17 Globemaster, no identification tracking, on final approach to IST Ataturk 5/23runway:

 

 

 

Updates 1:30 PM EST —
YPG still is moving south of Azaz, Syria towards the town of Tel Rifat. This offensive appears coordinated with Russian Air Force.

 

BREAKING: Heavy clashes outside Tel Rifaat between YPG/SDF and Turkish backed jihadists!

 

Source in Efrin says they are OUTSIDE Tel Rifaat but offensive launched to retake it. Heavy clashes ongoing!

 

37 air raids at least by Russian Air Force on Til Rifaat today, now YPG/SDF will try to take it. It’s been held by jihadists for long time.

 

 

 

URGENT:  1:56 PM Eastern US Time,  13 February 2016 — Stratfor is now confirming Russia has dispatched a ship to the Mediterranean, to deliver NUCLEAR-TIPPED CRUISE MISSILES.

 

 

 

UPDATE  2:03 PM Eastern US Time — Syrian Forces Commander Abu Omar told Russian news outlet “Sputnick” via electronic interview “Turkey is attacking us with mortars and rockets across the border. If the attacks continue, we will respond”   http://haber.sol.org.tr/dunya/afp-turkiye-ypg-ussunu-top-atesiyle-vurdu-145795

 

 

 

UPDATE  2:34 PM Eastern US Time — In an utterly UNPRECEDENTED move, Turkey has begun notifying NEWS AGENCIES (Like Ours) to make certain we are at worked and properly staffed tomorrow because there will be very big news and a huge escalation in Syria.  This is amazing to us; governments don’t do this sort of thing.  They aren’t saying exactly what will happen but the thought is a major air offensive with the Saudis ahead of ground troops. Some pathfinder forces are already on the ground in Syria

 

 

 

UPDATE 2:41 PM Eastern US Time — Turkey is closing major roads near Syrian border and hospitals are being cleared.

 

 

 

URGENT UPDATE: 2:45 PM Eastern US Time —  UK military members told to cancel all plans and all leave, prepare for deployment to Syria!

 

 

 

UPDATE 2:49 PM Eastern US Time — Turkish Military Artillery Forces have just begun yet another barrage of artillery fire into Syria; this one is directly targeting the Syrian Arab Army and is a direct attack upon the lawful government of Syria —  Turkey is now levying war upon Syria.  Turkey attacked first.  Turkey cannot expect to be able to invoke NATO Article 5 because Turkey attacked first.

 

 

 

Update  2:58 PM Eastern US Time — An entire FLEET of Russian Antonov-124 cargo planes (the largest cargo planes in the world) have begun arriving in Syria carrying Russian Tanks, Nuclear-tipped artillery shells and other major warfighting gear.  Within the last 90 minutes, TWO of these massive cargo aircraft have landed and began unloading.  Other Antoniv’s can be seen circling under the watchful eye of Russian warplanes as shown below:

 

 

 

 

UPDATE 3:17 PM Eastern US Time 13 February 2016 — Russian Air Force Strategic Bomber/Tanker HF Voice Net “BALANS” Heavily Active with numerous fighter jets arranging re-fueling on their trip from northwestern Russia to Syria.  NUMEROUS NUMEROUS Russian Fighter Jets in the air enroute to Syria right now

 

 

 

UPDATE 3:20 PM Eastern US Time — THIRD Antoniv-124 Cargo Jet landing in Syria . . . many more circling or enroute to supply Russian Military Forces again what is now believed to be IMMINENT ATTACK By Saudi Arabia, Turkey and others.  War likely to start by Tomorrow, Sunday, 14 February 2016 . . . . . . . . .

 

 

 

 

UPDATE 3:40 PM Eastern US Time —   Turkish artillery in Hayat, Turkey is targeting Syrian Arab Army positions near #Latakia. Syria.  This is an additional line of attack by Turkey, directly against the lawful army of the duly-elected government of Syria.  Turkey and Syria are now in a de facto state of war.

 

 

 

UPDATE 3:45 PM Eastern US Time — FLASH: Turkish artillery has begun hitting Syrian Army positions in northern #Syria

 

 

 

UPDATE 3:51 PM Eastern US Time —  Turkish Foreign Minister Davutoglu says “Syrian Kurdish militia must withdraw from area around Azaz in northern Syria.”   (Did you get that?  The TURKISH foreign minister is telling certain people in ANOTHER COUNTRY, that they must leave their country because TURKEY says so!  What balls!)

 

 

 

UPDATE 4:01 PM Eastern US Time — The Foreign Minister of Saudi Arabia has told CNN “Assad will leave — have no doubt about it. He will either leave by a political process or he will be removed by force.”  (Did you get that?  The foreign minister of SAUDI ARABIA is deciding who can be the duly-elected President of ANOTHER COUNTRY, Syria!!  What Balls!)

 

 

 

 

UPDATE 4:25 PM Eastern US Time — SuperStation95 has consulted with military experts who told us “Turkey is ready to deploy some 18,000 troops with substantial artillery and air support to occupy a 30-kilometer deep territory across the border running from the city of Jarabulus westward to the city of Azaz. The operation would cover an area under ISIS control, and it would provide a direct military assistance to terrorists and facilitate establishing of a buffer zone for the vestiges of their forces in Northern Syria. It would drastically escalate the tensions with the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) and the predominantly Kurdish Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). However, the Turkish military is fully capable of completing the first move aimed to push the SAA and the SDF from the aforementioned area and occupy a significant part of Northern Syria.

 

This step will likely face a hard answer of the Russian military grouping located in the country. The Russian land and navy air-defense systems and fighter jets are fully capable to neutralize the Turkish air force which will allow the Syrian government to counter-attack the Turkish intervention forces. Thus, the anti-terrorist forces will get a chance to exercise a counter-attack which will be likely supported by the Russian Aerospace Defense Forces.”

 

 

 

UPDATE 4:43 PM Eastern US Time — Turkey has now opened fire with artillery against FOUR separate Geographic zones inside Syria.

 

 

 

UPDATE 4:50 PM Eastern US Time — Qatar-i warplanes Have arrived with Saudi Arabia warplanes at Incirlik Airbase in Turkey — Air Attacks upon Syria deemed “Imminent”

 

 

 

UPDATE 4:53 PM Eastern US Time — Russia has increased the Alert Level for its entire military.

 

 

 

UPDATE 5:00 PM Eastern US Time — Turkish Artillery is shelling Deir Jamal, Syria and Malikiyah, Syria

 

 

 

Former Turkish Foreign Minister Yasar Yakis has warned that Turkey may risk losing a portion of its own territory should it decide to intervene militarily in Syria amid an intensified military campaign by regime forces backed by Russia.

 

 

 

UPDATE: 5:57 PM Eastern US Time —  Russia is amassing military supplies in its Southern Military District – high alert

 

 

 

UPDATE 5:58 PM Eastern US Time — Eyewitnesses: The Main highway from Kerch to Simferopol, Crimea is completely LOADED with huge military convoys and trucks carrying VAST amounts of heavy military hardware to the Black Sea Port at Simferopol.  The road has a traffic back-up two-hundred eight kilometers long  (208 KM) made up of 100% military convoys.

 

 

 

UPDATE 6:04 PM Eastern US Time — BREAKING: Turkey confirms that its artillery targeted Syrian regime positions in Latakia  (This is now an actual admission by the sovereign government of Turkey that it has deliberately attacked the forces of the legitimate and sovereign government of Syria.  Without cause or justification, Turkey has begun a war.)

 

 

 

 

 

UPDATE 6:11 PM Eastern US Time — Emergency Action Messages (EAM) – the highest priority message in the entire United States Military Command Structure, requiring IMMEDIATE attention and action —  have been broadcasting non-stop for about the last ten minutes on 8992 KHz USB.

 

 

 

UPDAT 6:16 PM Eastern US Time — URGENT: Turkish artillery renews attack on Syrian govt army positions in Aleppo

 

 

 

UPDATE 7:13 PM Eastern US Time — Reports from border town Kilis, Turkey: Heavy shelling still continues towards positions inside Syria.

 

 

 

Prolific researcher and analyst John Galt of the Shenandoah web site says that should Saudi Arabia put boots on the ground and attempt to engage ground forces in Syria the consequences may be disastrous:

 

The Saudi forces allegedly deployed are designed for operations to protect the royals. Saudi SF are not trained for foreign engagements, have no familiarity with Syrian, Iranian, or other combat operations.

It would be like sending our TSA to fight the Mexican Drug cartels in Monterrey.

If the Saudi and GCC SF’s engage in combat inside of Syria without US oversight, they will lose 50% of their forces in the first engagement with Syrian or Hezbollah forces who now have learned how to launch coordinated air and ground assaults on enemy positions.

The Saudi military is a joke.

 

The Saudis have a bigger problem; they don’t even control their Southern border. They are losing tanks, men, and other equipment daily to a bunch of sandal clad Houthi warriors while they have the “best” equipment from the United States.

“Whatever propaganda the Saudis continue to feed their domestic population,” he says, “is being betrayed by the arrival of body bags from the front lines.”

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Only YOU can spread brushfires of Freedom

 

Source : The Daily Coin.

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